Alan Abramowitz
Emory University

Donald Trump's victory in the 2016 presidential election shocked pundits, scholars and the entire American political establishment. Alan Abramowitz will examine the forces underlying Trump's victory and their implications for the future of the two-party system, American politics and the Southwest.

Alan I. Abramowitz is the Alben W. Barkley Professor of Political Science at Emory University in Atlanta, Georgia.  He received his B.A. from the University of Rochester in 1969 and his Ph.D. from Stanford University in 1976.  Dr. Abramowitz has authored or coauthored six books, dozens of contributions to edited volumes and more than fifty articles in political science journals dealing with political parties, elections, and voting behavior in the United States.  He is also one of the nation’s leading election forecasters— his Time for Change Model correctly predicted the popular vote winner in every presidential election between 1988 and 2012.  Dr. Abramowitz’s next book, The Great Alignment: Race, Ideology and the Transformation of the American Party System, will be published by Yale University Press in 2017.